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Australia unknown XI v Indian out of form XI
The Indian touring party to Australia finished a two day warmup match yesterday. One could be forgiven for not having noticed this. With the Big Bash League having already started the XI against whom the Indians played (the Cricket Australia Chairman’s Invitational XI) was comprised entirely of players who weren’t contracted to play T20. With Ed Cowan having to miss the match for that same rather foolish reason (Jarrod Kimber wrote a good takedown of the decision in Cricinfo) there wasn’t a lot to interest a neutral spectator, such as myself. I had not heard of any of the players in the Chairman’s XI before now, though I certainly don’t have an in depth knowledge of Australian cricket, and it hardly looked intimidating. Still, a players-who-weren’t-good-stroke-famous-enough-to-play-in-a-fairly-experimental-T20-league XI should not have presented much of a challenge. With that in mind, Australia ought to be quite pleased with the result.
Although not a lot of the order made runs, the fact that the third wicket put on 226 will certainly throw up red flags for India. They fielded what would probably be considered their first choice bowling attack minus for Zaheer Khan, but they still conceded 398-6. Ishant Sharma bowled only five and a half overs in the innings, as he is nursing a sore ankle. He injured the ankle in England and with India’s busy schedule it has not been repaired. Australia have had a lot of trouble with the swinging ball (to say the least) and if Sharma cannot play a full part in the series it will be a big blow to India. Yadav was their best bowler in the match, but we saw with Praveen Kumar in England last summer that one man cannot carry the attack. The drawback for the Aussies is that the Indian batsmen mostly seemed in good nick, but with the Chairman’s XI bowling being as anonymous as the batting I don’t think too much can be read into that score.
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AM XI v England XI
England’s opponents for the warmup matches in the UAE were finally announced today and the first match will be against a combined Associates and Affiliate XI led by Irish captain William Porterfield. It’ll only be a warmup match, of course, but it’s still a rather interesting matchup. There are three Irish players in the AM XI, Boyd Rankin and George Dockrell are playing alongside their national captain, and all played in Ireland’s World Cup victory over England last march. (And it wouldn’t be impossible for all three to play for England at some point in the future.) Thee are also two Scotsmen in the side, so the home nations are well represented. The match will be in Dubai and will be followed by a match against a PCB XI at a venue still to be decided.
The AM XI looks like a pretty strong side compared to the usual opponents in a tour match, which is a good thing I think. England have not played Test cricket in some time and it would not do for them to be rusty going into a series against a side who have been playing very well recently. It’s also nice to see the tour fixtures sorted at all since it’s only a month now until the first Test. I can hardly wait.
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Who is the best bowler of all time?
In my post a few weeks ago about Tendulkar’s 52nd Test hundred I included a bit about Sir Donald Bradman being the best batsman of all time. There are considerable difficulties comparing batsmen from different eras, but fortunately the Don was so good that there is little need for any subjective weighting of eras. Unfortunately it’s not so clear cut with respect to bowlers. The primary statistic for a batsman is his average, and whilst more recent ones do tend to be higher they are still readily comparable. The primary statistics for bowlers are wickets taken and bowling average though and those are both problematic when comparing bowlers from different eras. Bowling average has the same problem as batting average, plus it compares wickets to the frugality or otherwise of a bowler rather than to the total amount played (as batting average does). Total number of wickets taken, usually the primary stat, is faulty because many more Tests are played now than in years past. Murali leads the chart with 795 Test wickets, (like Bill Frindall, I exclude the ICC Super Test) but he played in almost five times the number of Tests as Sydney Barnes. A more seldom seen stat, but more theoretically useful in this case, is bowler’s strike rate, a measure of how many wickets a bowler took per deliveries bowled. (Technically it’s the other way around I know, but my phrasing still measures the same thing.) It’s still not perfect, however. It favours bowlers in the past who had the benefit of uncovered pitches and matches would end sooner than they do now.
Earlier this week I used a wickets taken per match to demonstrate Sri Lanka’s bowling ineptitude. After some thought, I concluded that it would probably be the best way to compare different bowlers from different eras as well. Obviously it corrects for total matches played, but since the total number of wickets that can be taken in a match has never changed it ought not to favour any particular era over any other. Like any average, it will require a minimum number of matches played. I opted to use 15, which would be small enough not to unfairly exclude bowlers who played in the very early days of Test cricket, but high enough to not include those who have played for less than a few years in modern times. In my analysis I actually use 30 innings bowled, so as to exclude batsmen who have played dozens of matches, but only occasionally bowled. This is the most subjective aspect to the analysis and a case could probably be made that 15 is a bit low and 20 would be a better number. That would leave out George Lohmann, the man with the lowest bowling average of all time, and Fred ‘The Demon’ Spofforth, however, so I prefer 15 as the cutoff.
Since Statsguru does not (to the best of my knowledge) have a feature to display wickets per match and I do not wish to perform the analysis by hand for every bowler in history to have bowled at least 30 innings I decided to look at the top 35 bowlers in each of the three traditional stats above. The Statsguru screenshots for these are shown below. (Click to make them large enough to actually read.)

The 35 top wicket takers in cricket history 
The 35 best career bowling averages 
The 35 best career bowling strike rates After accounting for overlap between the lists I was left with 68 bowlers from all eras. I should point out that this is not an exhaustive list of the top 68 bowlers in terms of wickets per match, only the 68 which seemed most likely to have a high ratio. After checking to see if I had missed anyone with a particularly high ratio, I added Clarrie Grimmet to the list. He was not amongst the top 35 in any of the original categories, but still took an average of 5.84 wickets per match. Ultimately I found 12 bowlers who had a career wickets per match ratio over five and they are presented in the table below.

Click to make legible By this analysis Sydney Barnes is the greatest bowler to have ever played the game, having averaged exactly seven wickets per match over the course of his career. It’s probably not the first name to leap to most minds, but nor is it an unreasonable choice. He still holds the record for most wickets in a single series, having taken 49 South African wickets in four matches in 1913-14 and his 17-159 at the Wanderers in that series is second only to Laker’s 19-90 in terms of match analyses. Even by the traditional metrics 189 wickets at 16.43 apiece is very, very good. It’s also not a novel choice. As recently as 2009 David Frith in Cricinfo suggested that Barnes was ‘[p]robably the greatest bowler who ever measured out a run-up’.
I don’t think there could be many complaints about the other eleven on the list either. The only one of whom I had not previously heard was Charlie Blythe, though Bobby Peel (the cricketer not the Prime Minister) is best remembered for allegedly urinating on the pitch during a Roses match and being banned from playing for Yorkshire by Lord Hawke. (By all accounts he was a very good bowler though.) After those two there are all quite famous names from almost every era. The fact that Murali is third on the list and the only contemporary bowler to average better than six wickets per match is not surprising, given the number of wickets he took in his career. (And it goes a long way to explaining why Sri Lanka have struggled so badly recently.) The most notable omissions from that list are the great West Indian fast bowlers. They did not miss out by much it should be pointed out; all bar Courtney Walsh averaged better than four wickets per match. I suspect the reason for this is that the Windian bowlers tended to share the wickets around. With so many greats in the same team and only twenty wickets available none were able to stand out as much as they undoubtedly would have had they played separately.
I would like to be able to compile a longer list, but I cannot be sure of the accuracy as I go farther down. Without going through every single bowler to have ever bowled in more than 30 innings it is not possible to ensure that a longer list would actually be complete. Hopefully at some point wickets per match will be considered a proper statistic and be easily available on Statsguru.
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Bradman Oration
I’ll be honest, I had never heard of the Bradman Oration until about a week ago when Channel Nine tried to sell me some tickets to it during the second Test. (And even then I wasn’t paying a lot of attention because it was about the tenth thing Channel Nine had hawked during the short series.) I didn’t buy the tickets they had and I was not sufficiently impressed to try to find any live stream. I’m kind of ruing that though. Rahul Dravid may not have quite matched Kumar Sangakkara at Lord’s last year, but he gave a very impressive speech.
The full text is well worth a read, but amongst other things he expressed his concerns about the future of Test cricket. He made the point that whilst Test cricket will always be the format by which cricketers are judged the lack of attendance will likely translate into poorer television veiwership and that the administrators ought to take greater care in ensuring that people are able and encouraged to watch matches. In particular he advocated day/night Test matches. It’s an idea about which I’ve been ambivalent in the past. Instinctively I don’t like it; I think that the change in conditions as night falls is too great. Also, it has been suggested that the pink ball does not swing, though I’m not sure how true that is. Most of all though, I am a traditionalist and simply don’t like the notion. I also accept the logic of playing D/N Tests though, and that is why I am still ambivalent about it. The logistical problems are not fatal, and they would certainly be adapted to. If it is what needs to happen to ensure crowds around the world than so be it, though I hope it does not happen in England where the crowds come anyway. I accept that to survive Test cricket may have to change somewhat, although I do not like the idea.
I wholeheartedly agree with Dravid’s suggestion that the international fixtures need revising though. No one except the administrators like a seven ODI series and a two Test series. It’s been a problem for ODIs for some time that bilateral series are effectively meaningless. It’s fun if India play Pakistan, as there is a rivalry there and the fans in those countries tend to prefer ODIs, but apart from that there is not a lot of draw. The results from a bilateral series affect the world ODI rankings, but since those don’t affect the World Cup they are not particularly relevant. Few would claim that Australia are the rightful fifty over World Champions because they top the ICC ODI rankings, but that is the only affect bilateral ODI series have. There is never a need to play seven irrelevant ODIs. There is seldom a need to play even five ODIs, in my opinion. I would prefer to see three match series with the remaining time freed up for a Test match. If boards are going to persist with long series (and I suspect that they are) the ICC need to make sure they have some sort of context, ideally by making qualification for the World Cup dependent on ranking. If only the top three or four teams automatically qualified for the World Cup and the rest had to play knockout matches against lesser nations it would give context to the bilateral series in the same way a Test Championship would give context to Test series.
It is very nice to see another current Test player so clearly and eloquently express the need for a better balance between the formats. With the weight of players fans and others in the media who have been making similar statements I am optimistic that the administrators may come around at some point.
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Cricket Supporters’ Association survey
The Cricket Supporters’ Association have a survey out for those who watch English international and/or domestic cricket. It does not take long to complete and the results will be read by the ECB so it is well worth your time. The only criticism I would have of it is some of the multiple choice answers did not fully reflect the extent of my feelings on the issue. (E.g.: For the question about reducing the County Championship I could only answer ‘no’ and not ‘absolutely not under any circumstances’.) Still, it’s an excellent and important survey and is well worth the five minutes or so it will take to fill out.
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Pakistan v England stats
I always rather enjoy going through Statsguru on Cricinfo, and after looking at some of Sri Lanka’s stats yesterday, today I thought I’d look at Pakistan’s and England’s statistics over the last twelve months and how they compare going into next month’s Test series.
England and Pakistan have been the two best sides over the past twelve months by a considerable distance. England have won seven and lost just one Test in that time and Pakistan have won five and lost one. No other side has a win-loss ratio above 1.00 and no other side has won more than four Tests in that time. (Australia have won four and lost four, India have won four and lost five.)
England have been in dominating form. The twelve month period began with the defeat at Perth, but then included a pair of innings victories over Australia and India each and one over Sri Lanka. The gulf between England and the rest of the world with the bat is astonishing. England average 48.30 with 17 centuries (five of them unbeaten) both numbers easily the best in the world. The next best average is Pakistan’s 39.56 and the overall average for the rest of the world is 29.57. In other words England average almost 200 runs more in a completed innings than the rest of the world. There were 57 centuries hit in the past twelve months by teams other than England, with the most for any one team being India’s ten. England’s 17 centuries come at an average or 1.7 per match (fairly easy maths there), whilst the rest of the world average 0.84 centuries per Test and that is not even accounting for the number of times England have only needed to bat once! There is less of a gap with the ball, as England’s bowling average of 26.58 is only the second best in the world, behind Pakistan’s 26.14. The average amongst other sides in this case is 34.78 so England are still comfortably better, but not by as much. England have also done well bowling sides out. They did so in eight of their ten matches over the past year and averaged 18.7 wickets per match (as a fielding side, i.e. including run outs). Only Pakistan at 19.4 fared better and the average amongst all other sides was 15.8.
Statistically then it should be a fantastic series in January. The best attack against the best batting order and the second best attack against the second best batting order. England’s stats have come against stronger sides than Pakistan’s in that time, but both sides beat Sri Lanka 1-0 at home. England have also never played in the UAE, so an analysis adjusted for home field advantage cannot be made. I’m very much looking forward to seeing how things play out come 17 January.
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South Africa v Sri Lanka preview
My first thought when looking at the fixture list is that this is going to be a one sided series. South Africa have their flaws, but they are a good side overall and Sri Lanka have rarely looked like testing their opponents. Still it is South Africa and they do have a knack for choking.
Sri Lanka though will really need to work to make any of the matches close. Sri Lanka have not won a Test this year and excluding the match at Galle that was played on a minefield their bowlers have an average almost fifty over the past twelve months. In thirteen innings they have only bowled their opposition out five times and in the eight matches in that time (still excluding the Galle Test) they took twenty wickets just once. Their bowlers average just eleven wickets per Test, the worst in the world in that time, including Bangladesh. (The best is Pakistan, incidentally, with an average 19.44 wickets taken per Test.) Their batting has been their strength and they have saved six of the nine Tests in which they have played this year, but they have also been inconsistent in that time. They collapsed badly in Cardiff and were bowled out cheaply in the first two tests in the UAE as well. (Though admittedly both of those were against good bowling attacks.)
Their build-up to the series has not gone according to plan either. Four of their seamers, including a first choice one, were ruled out before the tour and Nuwan Pradeep tore a hamstring after arriving in South Africa. They only played the one warmup match and in it they allowed the South African Invitational XI to get to 245-2 at one stage. Each of the top five of the SAI XI went past fifty and of the Sri Lankan bowling only Herath looked like a proper threat. In addition to Pradeep’s injury in that match, Kumar Sangakkara also tore the webbing of his hand, putting him in doubt for the first Test. The only bright spot for Sri Lanka is that Paranavitana scored a century when they came to bat, but the rains meant that they did not get to bat for long and that they are going to be very short of match practice going into the Test.
South Africa are harder to predict. There are more mercurial in general and they have not had a lot of cricket recently to allow their form to be judged. It’s fair to say that their performances against Australia were all over the map. They certainly have the batting strength to put a weak Sri Lankan attack to the sword, if they play as well as they ought to, but whether they have the bowling to force victory against a Sri Lankan side used to clinging on for draws is more of a question. Dale Steyn remains world class, of course, and this is an attack that reduced Australia to 21-9. (Though that was not entirely their doing.) It’s also an attack against which that selfsame Australian side successfully chased 310 to win, however.
I don’t see the depleted Sri Lankan attack taking twenty wickets in any of the matches and with their lack of time in the middle they will struggle to save the first Test, especially if Sangakkara does not recover in time. They may improve for the next two, but I think it will be too late, even with South Africa’s historic problems finishing off series. I’m tipping South Africa to win the series 1-0.
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New Zealand win by seven runs
The second test just came to a thrilling finish with Australia being bowled out for 233 and losing by seven runs. Doug Bracewell, in his third test, took a match winning 6-40 in the second innings whilst David Warner, in his second test, carried his bat for 123.
It’s a great victory for New Zealand. It’s the first test they have won in Australia for quite some time (25 years?) and they did so after playing very poorly at Brisbane, losing Vettori before the match started and then being bowled out for 150 in their first innings. Australia will have some questions to ask themselves however. They collapsed badly in the first innings to be bowled out for 136 and then lost six wickets for 40 runs in the second. That last one took them from a very strong position to one in which they did well to make the match as close as it was. Some of it was down to inspired bowling, Bracewell in the second innings most notably, but there was a lot of poor batting as well. The shots Haddin played were inexcusable, especially in the second innings. He chased a ball so wide it would not have hit a second set of stumps, despite having edged the ball before between third slip and gully. Warner also displayed some odd decision making late in the run chase. He took a single off the first ball of the 56th over and exposed Pattinson to the bowling of Bracewell. Two ball later Pattinson edged to slip and two balls after that Mitchell Starc was bowled. He continued in the same vein however. Both times there were LBW decisions reviewed against Lyon he was only on strike because Warner had taken a single off the previous delivery. When Lyon was bowled to end the match Warner had taken a single off the first ball. I don’t think that Warner is culpable for Australia’s defeat of course, but a more experienced player might have done a better job of hogging the strike.
Still, Warner ought to be happy with his performance. He scored an unbeaten 123 out of his side’s 233 all out and technically won Man of the Match (though only because Channel Nine let the viewers vote on the award; Bracewell was far more deserving). He is almost guaranteed a spot in the starting XI at the MCG, which can not be said of many of the Australian batsmen. Phil Hughes played very well last night, but lasted only five balls this morning before departing in the familiar manner of c Guptill b Martin. His 20 was actually the third largest score of the innings (fourth largest if you include the 21 extras), but I can’t see it being enough to save his place in the side. At the same time none of Khawaja, Ponting or Hussey did much to improve their chances of selection. Marsh and Watson are likely to return to the side for Boxing Day and whilst both are versatile enough to either open or bat in the middle order, most likely one opener and one middle order batsman will be dropped. With Hughes the only candidate amongst the openers it only leaves a question in the middle order. In many ways Khawaja is the easiest to drop as he is not very well established in the side. He only returned due to the injury to Marsh, so it is logical for him to make way. That would be the easy route for the selectors, however. Hussey looks like he is terminally out of form and if only one middle order batsman goes it ought to be him. That all is assuming that Ponting does not decide to retire, however. If Ponting does retire than Hussey could keep his place, but I would rather see Marsh and Watson both bat in the middle order and Ed Cowan open with Warner. I would actually quite like to see that even if Ponting does not retire. I think it would be a good positive move by the selectors. They’ll be under pressure to do something, certainly. India may have struggled badly in England, but they are a better side than New Zealand and Australia will need to improve to feel confident of victory.
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Should Bangladesh play test cricket?
I haven’t watched very much of the Bangladesh v Pakistan test this week. It hasn’t been on TV here to the best of my knowledge, and in any case after the first two days of Australia v New Zealand I don’t really need to watch any more poor strokeplay for a while. What I’ve seen on Cricinfo has been incredibly one sided though. The Bangladeshis were bowled out for 135 in their first innings (after Pakistan opened the bowling with a spinner) and proceeded to concede 594-5 declared.
It’s yet another pretty pathetic performance from a Bangladesh side that don’t seem to be improving. Right now they don’t look like a test quality side, and really they never have. They were granted test status on the back of ODI performances and whilst they have looked intermittently competent in the shorter formats their bowlers have never had the quality to take twenty wickets and their batsmen have seldom applied themselves and played a proper innings. (Though they are not the only ones, as we’ve seen in the recent Australia series.) I would not back them to win the County Championship were they playing in that competition.
It raises the question again of whether they ought to have their test status revoked. Whilst they are reflecting poorly on test cricket as a whole, the loss of funds would immensely damage cricket in the country. The loss of test status would also mean they would play more limited overs cricket, which would not help them. In addition, most of the test nations except the original three were very weak for many years after starting to play test cricket. New Zealand were probably the worst (26 all out still being a record) but even they improved enough that they had a period of respectability. It was many years before England sent a full strength squad to tour India, or before the West Indies stopped playing ‘calypso cricket’. It is quite possible that Bangladesh may come around eventually and play at a respectable level.
At the same time, constantly losing (and usually losing badly) is not likely to be productive. They need to be tested against similar opposition more often than they are. And whilst Bangladesh may come around, there is no guarantee that they will. India and the West Indies did not start off playing one day cricket, as it hadn’t been invented yet. They could and did devote their resources to improving as test sides. One day cricket has always been Bangladesh’s strong point however and watching them play gives the strong impression that they are a one day team trying to play a test match. If they continue to focus on those formats (as they could be forgiven for doing, since ODIs are more lucrative for them and usually more of a contest) they are unlikely to improve as a test side. Least important, but still relevant I think, allowing Bangladesh to have test status and not Ireland is inconsistent. I strongly suspect that Ireland would beat Bangladesh in a test match at the moment.
I would prefer if Bangladesh had their test status revoked. What I would like to see is Bangladesh and the Associate nations play a lot of first class cricket amongst themselves and against the ‘A’ sides. (Full tours of three or four first class matches, ideally four days, plus limited overs matches would be ideal.) I don’t know how this would be financed, but if the ICC want to spread cricket around the world I think they need to find a way for the smaller nations to play more cricket in the longer format. Otherwise we will have more sides like Bangladesh playing test cricket when they are clearly unsuited to it.
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Saturday review – 10 Dec
I had a bit of trouble assembling my customary review this week, like last week there were quite a few very good pieces and I like to stick to just five. The five I selected are presented in no particular order.
To begin with, at Cricinfo Christian Ryan writes about the relative lack of left arm orthodox spinners and explores possible reasons for their scarcity.
Keeping with the theme of spin, Barney Ronay in the Guardian writes about the modern trend of ‘mystery spinners’ and offers a brilliant summary of their career:
claim a sensational televised three for 12; invent a delivery called the Zangler, the Knucklechuck or the Massive Pie; become the officially recognised next big thing; play a season for the Bangalore Cheesesteaks; get the yips; get no-balled for chucking; have a tantrum while playing for Devon; disappear completely.
On the BBC website Jonathan Agnew looks at the squad for England’s tour of the UAE and suggests perhaps that Bairstow out to have been picked over Bopara. I’m tempted to agree, as Bopara has never really looked like a test level batsman, but I’d rather not blood Bairstow in the UAE.
In the wake of Andrew Flower suggesting that he might step down before the 2015 World Cup, Lizzy Ammon has a pice in the Mirror about his history and the incredible effect he has had on the England side since he was given the top job in 2009.
Finally, on the week of Peter Willey’s 62nd birthday Rob Steen writes at the Cricketer about Willey and the defiant innings he played to save the 1980 Oval test against the West Indies.
